The meeting of FRS has taken place, it is possible to come back to 1,14 "June 16, 2016"

Results of the last trading day:

On Wednesday euro/dollar has finished the biddings in plus. U.S. Fed I have made the decision to leave the level of the main interest rates without change in the range of 0,25% - 0,50%. All have voted for preserving rates unanimously. FRS plans two increases of rates this year, however six heads predict only one. According to the latest data of CME Group FedWatch of the future for a rate, after a yesterday's meeting the probability of its increase in July has decreased from 21% to 7%. Increase of rates means it is worth expecting in September.

The rate of euro/dollar for the decision has reacted with growth to a mark 1,1276, after performance J. Yellen – to 1,1298. She has told nothing new.

The index of industrial production in the USA for May has constituted-0,4% (the forecast was-0,3%, the previous value of 0,6%).

Expectations for today:

The rate of euro/dollar was stabilized at the level of 1,1262. As the hour indicator of the joint-stock company is in a positive zone, in the first half of day I wait for decline in the rate to 1,1245. As from a yesterday's maximum sharp kickback has followed, I do not consider updating of a maximum today. After a meeting of Bank of England I expect strengthening to 1,1295 from euro.

News of the present day:

     – The solution of ShNB on an interest rate. Press conference of the chairman of the board of directors of ShNB.
    - the release of the economic bulletin of European Central Bank is planned.
    - in Great Britain there will be a report on amount of retail sales for May.
    - the eurozone will publish final data on a consumer price index for May.
     – the decision of Bank of England on an interest rate, distribution of voices on an interest rate, a release of the summary on monetary management from Bank of England, amount of the redemption of assets Bank of England.
    - The USA – the Consumer price index for May, a production index according to FRB of Philadelphia for June, number of primary jobless claims on June 6-12, balance of a paying balance for 1 quarter 2016.
     – speech of the head of Bank of England Mark Carney.

Technical analysis:

Intra day forecast: at least – 1,1245, at most – 1,1295, closing – 1,1276.

The rate of euro/dollar has punched the trend line. "Evrobyka" not directly it was punched as there passed still the balance sheet line and the 45th degree. After a meeting of U.S. Fed euro exchange rate has directed to the 90th degree.


On the hour schedule we see that serious resistance was formed at the level of 1,13. That to overcome it, it is necessary to take dispersal. For this purpose it is necessary to depart to the 45th degree on 1,1245. It is impossible to fall below, there passes trend from a minimum 1,1189. If to look at day TF, then we will possibly leave top to 1,1420 on W-of figurative model.