Sunday, April 3, 2016

I C H I M O K U



Ichimoku

Ichimoku, Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (. Jap 一 目 均衡 表 Ichimoku Kinko: Hyo :?) - a technical indicator, developed in the 1930s by Japanese analyst Goichi Hosoda (Jap 細 田 悟 一 Hosoda Guo: iti.?), Published under the pseudonym Sandzhin Ichimoku, to predict the movement of the stock index of Japan Nikkei. Ichimoku combines several approaches to the analysis of the market and is designed to identify trends, support and resistance lines, and generation of signals to buy / sell.Goichi Hosoda more than thirty years perfecting his lamp and only published the results in 1968.Jap.一 目 均衡 表 can be roughly translated as "instant view of the balance."

Theoretical study

Tenkan Line, the Kijun and Senkou B Ichimoku indicator is an analog moving average and can therefore be individually interpreted as indicators of the moving average, and in the sharing of the MACD indicator.

Chikou line is an analog indicator Momentum.
 
 


Technique of construction

General provisions

Ichimoku is five lines marked on the price chart and shaded space between the two of them, as shown below.
 
 


Time intervals
 For the construction of the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo use two time periods of varying length: 
Short - t_s, traditionally of 9 periods. 
 Middle - t_m, conventionally equal to 26 periods. 
 Long - t_l, conventionally equal to 52 periods.

Sanzhdin Ichimoku empirically proved that these duration periods are best for Nikkei to trade on the weekly bars. Typically, such periods treated as t_l (52) - year - prospective horizon for investors, t_m (26) - half of the market cycle in this case.According to some analysts, these ratios are optimal for other timeframes and markets, while specifying that the trader can choose higher quality ranges for its trading parameters.
 


Lines 


Tenkan (Tenkan-sen; Jap 転 換 線 - line coup.) - Short trendline whose values are equal to half the sum of the highest and lowest prices over a short period of time (t_s):
 




\textit{Tenkan}_t = \frac{\underset{i \in [t-t_s, t]}{\operatorname{max}} (high_i) + \underset{i \in [t-t_s, t]}{\operatorname{min}} (low_i)}{2},
where high_i - the highest price of the i-th period, low_i - the minimum price of the i-th period.
Tenkan line is interpreted as a movement direction of the trend. Moreover, it is believed that the higher the slope of this line is the more pronounced trend.


Kijun (Kijun-sen; Jap 基準 線 - line standard.) - The average between the maximum and minimum of the average amount of time (t_m):

 \textit{Kijun}_t = \frac{\underset{i \in [t-t_m, t]}{\operatorname{max}} (high_i) + \underset{i \in [t-t_m, t]}{\operatorname{min}} (low_i)}{2}. 

Kijun is used as an indicator of the market movement. If prices are above it, they probably will continue to rise and vice versa.

Senkou A (Senkou span A; Jap 先行 - horse, galloping ahead of the coach.) - A cross between Tenkan and the Kijun, shifted forward on the average time interval (t_m):

 \textit{SenkouA}_t = \frac{\textit{Tenkan}_{t-t_m} + \textit{Kijun}_{t-t_m}}{2} = \frac{\underset{i \in [t-t_m-t_s, t-t_m]}{\operatorname{max}} (high_i) + \underset{i \in [t-t_m-t_s, t-t_m]}{\operatorname{min}} (low_i) + \underset{i \in [t - 2 \cdot t_m, t-t_m]}{\operatorname{max}} (high_i) + \underset{i \in [t - 2 \cdot t_m, t-t_m]}{\operatorname{min}} (low_i)}{4}. 

 

Senkou B (Senkou span B; Jap 先行 - horse, galloping ahead of the coach.) - The average between the maximum and minimum for a long period of time (t_l), shifted forward on the average amount of time (t_m): 

 \textit{SenkouB}_t = \frac{\underset{i \in [t-t_m-t_l, t-t_m]}{\operatorname{max}} (high_i) + \underset{i \in [t-t_m-t_l, t-t_m]}{\operatorname{min}} (low_i)}{2}. 

Chikou (Chikou span; яп. 遅行 — осаженная, на определённый интервал) — сдвинутое назад на средний промежуток времени (t_m) значение цены:

 \textit{Chikou}_t = close_{t+t_m}, 

where the close_{t+t_m} - closing price at time t+t_m.

Cloud

Kumo (Jap 雲 -. Cloud) - the gap between the Senkou A and Senkou B, showing the volatility of the market.

Cloud on the chart are usually hatched in different colors:

     Blue if Senkou B is above Senkou A.
     Red if Senkou A is above Senkou B.

It is believed that if the price is in the cloud side trend prevails.

  Trading strategies

The intersection of Tenkan and Kijun 

 «Golden Cross" - a buy signal (closing of long positions) when the Tenkan Kijun crosses from bottom to top. 

 "Dead Cross" - a signal to sell (the opening of a short position), when the Tenkan Kijun crosses from top to bottom.

 Crossing Senkou A and Senkou B

     When crossing Senkou A bottom-up Senkou B should look for buying opportunities.
     When crossing Senkou A downward Senkou B should look for selling opportunities.

Intersections price chart and lines of Ichimoku indicator

     At the intersection of the graph Ichimoku indicator lines prices from the bottom up, should look for opportunities to buy.
     At the intersection of the price chart Ichimoku indicator lines from top to bottom, should look for opportunities to sell.
 

Three signal lines

The alignment of the Ichimoku indicator lines in a hierarchical order: the price chart, Tenkan, Kijun, Kumo downward proposed interpreted as a missed signal the beginning of a growing trend.
 

Chinkou signals

If Chinkou traverses the price chart from the bottom up, it is a buy signal, and vice versa.

 

No comments:

Post a Comment